Insider Trading Investigation Dashboard

Political Donation & Insider Trade Correlation Analysis
Generated: June 05, 2026  |  Sources: SEC EDGAR Form 4, FEC OpenFEC API, Capitol Trades Data: Jun 15, 2024 → Jan 25, 2027
Overview All Suspects Crypto & Digital STOCK Act Donors Timeline Cases Liquidations Stories Iran War Intel Kalshi Markets Published in VELOCITY Influence Orbit About

Most Recent Policy Events  View full timeline →

ADMIN_CHANGE2026-09-01Gabbard 90-day landing deadline (approx). Former DNI Tulsi Gabbard departed June
SANCTIONS2026-08-14Cuba commercial follow-on 90-day watch window closes (June 5 - Aug 14). Any Form
REGULATORY2026-08-14GSE privatization watch window — Fannie Mae (FNMA) and Freddie Mac (FMCC) privat
MARKET2026-06-27Smoking Gun Day one-year anniversary — $6.42B, 432 correlations (corrected May
MILITARY2026-06-14Trump birthday — Greenland watch date. TSM three-day green streak loading May

Events by Category (633 total)

June 27, 2025 — Smoking Gun Day

Elon Musk$5,000,000Trump 47 Committee
Elon Musk$5,000,000CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND
Elon Musk$5,000,000MAGA INC.
Elon Musk$5,000,000SLF PAC
GROW THE MAJORITY$3,067,617National Republican Senatorial Committee
Stephen Schwarzman$2,000,000Trump 47 Committee
Stephen Schwarzman$2,000,000PINE TREE RESULTS PAC
Jeff Bezos$1,000,000Trump 47 Committee
Harold Hamm$500,000MAGA Inc
Vivek Ramaswamy$100,000MAGA Inc
ExecutiveCompanyValueScoreType
Jeff Bezos
Amazon
$35,960,00012/20Sale
Jeff Bezos
Amazon
$27,180,00012/20Sale
Elon Musk
Tesla
$24,280,0009/20Purchase
Jeff Bezos
Amazon
$18,050,00012/20Sale
Jensen Huang
NVIDIA
$11,895,00010/20Sale
Harold Hamm
Continental Resources
$6,936,00010/20Sale
Lisa Su
AMD
$4,062,5008/20Sale
Stephen Schwarzman
Blackstone
$3,855,0008/20Sale
Vivek Ramaswamy
Strive Asset Management
$1,470,00010/20Sale

Top 25 Policy Events — Trading Activity Within 7 Days

Sorted by severity. Shows trades correlated within ±7 days of each event.

DateCategorySeverityEventTrades (7d)Same DayValue (7d)
2026-06-27MARKETCATASTROPHICSmoking Gun Day one-year anniversary — $6.42B, 432 correlations (corrected May 30 2026 after FEC donation deduplication), Musk donating to four committees simultaneously while buying Tesla, Bezos $81M sale, all on one calendar day. The dispatch that has never been written. Run fresh correlation scan against new policy events in June 27, 2025 ±7-day window since last analysis. Flag for anniversary coverage.00$0
2026-06-05SANCTIONSCATASTROPHICGAESA foreign institution wind-down deadline — all foreign banks and institutions must sever GAESA-connected revenue streams by this date. Any defiance of OFAC 50% rule triggers Cuba dispatch condition. USS Nimitz in Caribbean; USS Kearsarge (2,500 Marines) off Virginia coast. Monitor: Canadian banks (Cuba exposure), Spanish tourism operators, Chinese state institutions.00$0
2026-06-04EXECUTIVE_ORDERCATASTROPHICSchedule Policy/Career (Schedule F) executive order signed — ~8,000 high-ranking career civil servants reclassified to at-will employment; fired without due process. Covers positions with 'confidential, policy-determining, policy-making, or policy-advocating' nature. Project 2025 objective executed. First proposed Oct 2020, rescinded by Biden, reinstated and expanded. Pulte (acting DNI) now has authority to reclassify and fire career intelligence professionals in positions crossing this classification. CONSTITUTIONAL | CATASTROPHIC.00$0
2026-06-04REGULATORYCATASTROPHICFISA Section 702 expiry June 12 — 8 days. Pulte acting DNI appointment threatening Democratic votes for reauthorization. Warner: impossible to support renewal with Pulte controlling warrantless surveillance of Americans. Thune: 'We don't need a weaponized DNI.' McConnell objecting on legal-qualification grounds. Republicans cannot pass renewal alone; need ~12 Democratic votes. Schumer: 'This announcement makes passing an extension much harder.' Both outcomes extreme: lapse destroys foreign intelligence collection; renewal gives Pulte with documented pattern of weaponizing agencies warrantless surveillance authority. CONSTITUTIONAL | CATASTROPHIC | June 12 hard deadline.00$0
2026-06-03MILITARYCATASTROPHICHouse votes 215-208 to invoke War Powers Act against Operation Epic Fury — first successful War Powers invocation against an active military operation since 1973. Constitutional crisis threshold crossed: legislative branch formally asserts commander-in-chief limits. Bipartisan vote; 12 Republican defections.00$0
2026-06-03MILITARYCATASTROPHICInspectors General from Pentagon and State Department launch formal review of Operation Epic Fury — operation has exceeded 60-day War Powers Act limit. Second simultaneous institutional accountability mechanism activated on same day as House vote. CONFIRMED | CONSTITUTIONAL CRISIS.00$0
2026-06-03MARKETCATASTROPHICSpaceX IPO priced at $135/share; valuation $1.77T; raise $74.4B — largest IPO in US history. Confidential DRS filed April 1 2026; public S-1 May 20 2026; roadshow June 8. Compute lease $1.25B/month creates dual-IPO entanglement with Anthropic confidential filing June 1.00$0
2026-06-03REGULATORYCATASTROPHICSCOTUS 6-3 allows Alabama congressional map despite lower courts finding intentional racial discrimination — Three-judge district panel (two Trump appointees) found map 'intentionally discriminatory' and violating 14th Amendment + Voting Rights Act Section 2. SCOTUS conservative majority overruled, saying lower court 'did not heed presumption of legislative good faith.' Follows Louisiana v. Callais (Apr 29) gutting majority-minority district requirements. Practical result: Black Democratic lawmaker replaced by white Republican using court-certified-discriminatory map. Sotomayor dissent 17 pages: 'The reason the District Court found intentional discrimination even after affording such deference is simple: The record is crystal clear.' CONSTITUTIONAL | CATASTROPHIC.00$0
2026-06-03REGULATORYCATASTROPHICVought/OMB proposes political control over federal research grants — 412-page rule gives political appointees FINAL SAY over NIH, NSF, and all federal science agency grants. Peer review panels become purely advisory. Pre-issuance review required: political appointees evaluate grants for compliance with presidential priorities including race/gender. 45-day comment period (unusually short for a rule of this scale); deadline July 13. 'A complete political control apparatus layered over every stage of the federal science funding lifecycle.' REGULATORY | CATASTROPHIC.00$0
2026-06-02ADMIN_CHANGECATASTROPHICPulte dual-appointment architecture: FHFA Director + acting DNI simultaneously under one person with no intelligence background. 0T+ GSE (Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac) privatization is now a classified-information-adjacent event — the person who controls DNI also controls when and how GSE restructuring news flows. Any pre-announcement positioning in FNMA, FMCC, MBS ETFs, or mortgage REIT sector constitutes potential intelligence-assisted trading. Flag all FNMA/FMCC Form 4 activity and any large MBS derivative moves from June 2026 forward.00$0
2026-06-01INSIDERCATASTROPHICEDGAR Form 4 window opens for May 27 transactions — run OXY, CVX, FRO, DHT, KTOS, DVN. Priority names from March 1 precedent: eight OXY executives who filed day Iran war started, all 16/20. If any filed May 27 (day of Oman threat, day Hollub successor Jackson takes Middle East portfolio) that is Casino Part Three. DVN 1,948.7x volume/OI ratio May 27 — highest in dataset, unlogged; John Hess/CVX $36M sale early May, verify 10b5-1 status when filing detail available.00$0
2026-06-01DOE-ASSET-LIQUIDATIONCATASTROPHICDOE releases 15 million barrels of seized Venezuelan crude — first confirmed use of confiscated sovereign assets to intervene in commodity markets in real time. WTI fell from $91 to $83 intraday. Venezuelan oil seized under Operation Absolute Resolve (Vance confirmed 42M barrels total, May 29). Trump post 12:15 CST; delivery confirmed 12:30 CST. 15-minute window between announcement and delivery. Check for WTI bearish prediction markets opened before this post.00$0
2026-06-01MILITARYCATASTROPHICBBC/Washington Post: satellite imagery confirms Iranian strikes damaged 20+ US military sites across Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Iraq, Jordan, Bahrain, and Oman since Feb 28 — 228+ structures damaged. More extensive than publicly acknowledged. White House has repeatedly stated Iran's military 'largely destroyed.' Suppressed damage data entering public record.00$0
2026-05-29SANCTIONSCATASTROPHICIran MOU $300B reconstruction investment fund confirmed — Witkoff/Kushner real estate origin; US energy companies including major oil corporations invited for joint ventures in Tehran; financial architecture baked into peace deal from negotiation inception. NYT: Iranian official + two diplomats describe postwar 'investment fund.' Cross-ref: USD1 Hormuz settlement designation (Apr 5), Toll Booth and the Coin (Day 84). Receipt for settlement-is-the-score thesis.00$0
2026-05-29SANCTIONSCATASTROPHICBessent 3:15 PM CST: OFAC sanctions Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA) effective immediately after direct conversation with Omani Ambassador — Oman confirms no plans to participate in Iran-Oman joint Strait of Hormuz management. OXY Block 53 territory (800M+ barrels) directly affected. OXY September $55 puts (1,000 contracts) pre-positioned May 27 now in-focus. Bessent announcement fractures Iran's legal basis for joint Hormuz management claim.00$0
2026-05-29SANCTIONSCATASTROPHICQatar frozen-asset conduit confirmed — $24B Iran release mechanism via third-country intermediaries to avoid 'Pallets of Cash' optics. Trump team developing Qatar-intermediated mechanism where other countries release frozen funds to Iran rather than direct US payment. Structural match for USD1 as conduit instrument. Cross-ref: GENIUS Act, UAE 49% USD1 ownership, Hormuz transit settlement designation.00$0
2026-05-21SANCTIONSCATASTROPHICDOJ/SDNY unseals federal indictment of Raul Castro on drug trafficking and terrorism charges — first sitting/former Cuban head of state charged federally. Escalates US-Cuba confrontation from diplomatic to criminal prosecution. CATASTROPHIC signal for Cuban regime stability.00$0
2026-05-21REGULATORYCATASTROPHICSCOTUS 8-1 Cuba property claims ruling — Havana Docks Corp. v. Carnival et al. Thomas writes for near-unanimous court. Federal law allows US nationals to sue companies in US courts for commercial use of property confiscated by Cuba. Revives $440M+ judgments against Carnival, Norwegian Cruise Line, Royal Caribbean, MSC Cruises for using Havana port 2016-2019 under Obama-era thaw. Legal basis: Cuban Liberty and Democratic Solidarity Act (1996, Helms-Burton). Sole dissent: Kagan (original agreement would have expired 2004). Commercial architecture impact: ~6,000 certified US claims, $9B at 6% simple interest since 1960. Any entity acquiring GAESA-exited properties (Melia hotels, aviation routes, logistics corridors) acquires them under $9B legal cloud. Kushner/Witkoff distressed-asset acquisition pattern intersects directly. Vietnam-model deal template (Cuba drops $181B/$170B counter-claims) is receipt structure for August 14 watch window. LEGAL | CATASTROPHIC.00$0
2026-05-17MILITARYCATASTROPHICBARAKAH NUCLEAR PLANT DRONE STRIKE: Iran-aligned militia drone strikes UAE Barakah nuclear facility — UAE calls on Iraq to prevent further hostile acts from its territory. Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed (UAE NSA, 49% WLFI/USD1 via MGX/Aryam) holds direct financial stake in instrument positioned as Hormuz settlement currency. Attack is kinetic contact between US crypto financial architecture and Gulf military conflict. Cross-ref: USD1 Hormuz settlement designation Apr 5 2026; UNSC condemnation May 26 2026. Monitor: UAE energy ETFs, nuclear sector, GCC sovereign debt, Gulf defense contractors (LMT, RTX, NOC, GD), options volume FRO/shipping instruments May 14-17 window.00$0
2026-05-01EXECUTIVE_ORDERCATASTROPHICExecutive order imposes GAESA secondary sanctions against Cuba's military commercial conglomerate — all Havana port/hotel/retail revenue streams severed from USD system. Signals imminent regime-change commercial follow-on; Kushner/Witkoff orbit flagged for Cuba positioning.420$0.13B
2026-04-25MILITARYCATASTROPHICSOUTHCOM conducts Cuba-specific tabletop exercise simulating regime collapse and US military response — confirmed via flight tracking of L3Harris surveillance aircraft (LHX) circling Cuba. PRE_MILITARY signal: LHX Form 4s for Apr 15–May 15 period warrant scrutiny.990$0.12B
2026-04-18MILITARYCATASTROPHICIran Ceasefire Announced - Oil Drops 18%; Bitcoin Surges 22%1990$0.01B
2026-04-18MANIPULATIONCATASTROPHICPolymarket: $855K Ceasefire Bets Placed ~15 Min Before Trump Truth Social Post; 16 Accounts $100K+ Gains1990$0.01B
2026-04-18MANIPULATIONCATASTROPHICS&P e-Mini and WTI Futures Volume Spike ~15 Min Before Ceasefire Truth Social Post1990$0.01B
2026-04-05CRYPTOCATASTROPHICGENIUS Act: USD1 Stablecoin Designated Official Hormuz Transit Settlement Currency27760$0.02B