Insider Trading Investigation Dashboard

Political Donation & Insider Trade Correlation Analysis
Generated: September 08, 2026  |  Sources: SEC EDGAR Form 4, FEC OpenFEC API, Capitol Trades Data: Jun 15, 2024 → Sep 04, 2026
Overview All Suspects Crypto & Digital STOCK Act Donors Timeline Cases Liquidations Stories Iran War Intel Kalshi Markets Published in VELOCITY Open Investigations Influence Orbit Detention Inc. Venezuela Oil About Follow on Facebook
ORBIT

Influence Orbit — Big Tech / Big Law / AI & Crypto

Mapping the intersection of Big Tech, AI Policy, and the law firms that act as conduits for both influence and information. Threshold for this group: $10,000+ trades. Data harvest pending — run commands below to populate.

ORBIT 6 — RARE EARTH / GREENLAND
The Forever Clause: CRML, REalloys, Tanbreez
Law firm connections confirmed via SEC EDGAR CORRESP filings and prospectus documents
FirmEntityConnection / FEC Hit
White & CaseCRML (Critical Metals)Confirmed U.S. securities counsel — SEC CORRESP 2024–2026 (Jason A. Rocha, Houston). CRML holds 92.5% Tanbreez deposit, Greenland. DUFNER, DANIEL: $50,000 3d before Burr stock event.
Paul HastingsREalloys (ALOY)Confirmed underwriters' counsel — ALOY prospectus. REalloys: DLA $1.7M Terves contract, Kasper advisory board, 15-yr offtake signed May 21, 2026.
Kirkland & EllisChina rare earth clusterLEVY, JENNIFER (attorney): $10,000 donated 0 days before China Rare Earth Export Controls (Oct 1, 2025). Score 420 — highest in dataset. CLUSTER FLAG
Goodwin Procter LLPMP Materials Corp. (MP)CONFIRMED OUTSIDE COUNSEL — S-8 Exhibit 5.1, Feb 26 2026. Washington DC office. Registered 3,547,152 shares under MP Materials 2020 Stock Incentive Plan — the share pool being liquidated by Litinsky (top entry 27/20 under the July 18 2026 detector build; $97.1M total Jan–Jun 2026 sales), Rosenthal COO (16/20, $962K May 20), and Hoops CFO (~$2.2M, 5 tranches). Rosenthal pre-policy Aug 29 2025 sale ($10.8M) preceded China REE export controls by 41 days. All named MP Materials executives: net sell position during Iran conflict window. Goodwin Procter holds legal opinion covering the pool they are selling. CLUSTER FLAG — executive liquidation into war window under counsel-covered plan
Crowell & MoringDOD contractsMajor government contracts practice. Cross-ref DLA Terves LLC contract period (March 2026).
Wiley ReinDefense trade lawGovernment contracts / trade law. Cross-ref Kasper SGE period and REalloys advisory appointment.
Source: The Forever Clause →  ·  SEC EDGAR CORRESP: CRML/White & Case (2024–2026)  ·  ALOY prospectus/Paul Hastings  ·  FEC orbit scan
ORBIT 5 — CFTC / PREDICTION MARKETS
Casino Part Two: The Regulator Was In On It
Law firm connections confirmed via NYT CFTC investigation (May 21–22, 2026) and SEC filings
FirmEntityConnection / FEC Hit
Gibson DunnPolymarketConfirmed outside counsel. BOUTROUS, THEODORE: $55,700 donated 1d before Hormuz escalation. POLLACK, JOHN: $70,000 5d before Hormuz closure extended.
Gibson DunnGoogle / AndurilSHARF, JESSE: $25,000 1d before Anduril $22B DoD contract. BATTS, EDWARD: $15,000 4d before DOJ drops Google antitrust. CLUSTER FLAGS
Gibson DunnSpaceX IPO ★ DUAL ENTRYFIRST CONNECTED HERE · June 1, 2026 — IPO counsel of record, Houston office (S-1 confirmed May 20 2026, CIK 0001181412). Same firm as Polymarket outside counsel (Casino series). One firm: largest IPO in history ($1.75T SPCX) AND prediction market generating federal criminal cases. House Oversight Comer records deadline June 5 passed — no public release confirmed. CATASTROPHIC ORBIT FLAG
Cantor FitzgeraldSPCX / Cipher Mining ★ DUAL ENTRYFIRST CONNECTED HERE · June 1, 2026 — SPCX co-manager underwriter. IPO PRICED June 11 at $135/sh — $75B raised, $1.77T valuation. Begins trading June 12. Peak: $225.64 (June 16). Howard Lutnick = Commerce Secretary. Commerce/BIS issues SpaceX dual-use export licenses (Starlink, launch). Brandon Lutnick = 1,723 donor correlations in dashboard. Cantor Fitzgerald connected to Cipher Mining $14.236M Treasury bond event (16/20). Commerce Secretary's family firm co-underwrote $75B IPO. That is not a conflict of interest. That is the business model. HIGH ORBIT FLAG
SPCX Post-IPOCrash + Cursor + xAIUPDATE · June 22, 2026 — SpaceX stock -16.4% on June 22 (biggest single-day drop since IPO), triggered by SEC filing for $20B+ senior unsecured bond offering — investors questioned why the largest equity raise in history ($85.7B) was insufficient. Peak-to-June-22 wipeout: ~$600B market cap. June 16: SpaceX acquired Cursor (AI coding startup) for $60B all-stock. All 11 original xAI co-founders departed by May 2026; Reid Hoffman called xAI “a complete train wreck” and SpaceX “a premium-priced CoreWeave.” NYU Prof. Damodaran valued SPCX equity ~28% below IPO; called $26T AI TAM claim in S-1 “a hallucination.” Musk net worth: Bloomberg/Forbes ~$946–951B as of June 21 — no longer a trillionaire. UPDATE June 30, 2026: Musk regained trillionaire status — net worth surged +$62.3B in single day (SPCX +7.6%, TSLA +8.6%) driven by Trump Accounts stock-donation discussions (SpaceX reconciliation signal) and Musk confirmed at Xi Jinping White House summit (Sept 24). xAI structural problems unchanged: $4.9B FY2025 net loss, all 11 co-founders departed, Moody’s/Fitch near-junk bond ratings. xAI net losses: $4.9B FY2025; $4.28B Q1 2026. Sources: TheStreet · TechCrunch · Bloomberg Billionaires · Fortune/Benzinga (Hoffman) · Semafor (June 29, Trump Accounts).
Grimes County TXTerafab Pre-PositionPRE-VOTE · May 27, 2026 — WIT TECH LLC (documents signed by Jared Birchall, who manages Musk family office Excession LLC) purchased six parcels in Grimes County TX including a Navasota River pump station and a one-acre parcel consisting of the river itself — critical water infrastructure for semiconductor fab cooling. Purchase date: May 27. County vote: June 4. One week gap. Grimes County commissioners voted 4–1 to approve 100% property tax abatement for SpaceX Terafab ($55B semiconductor chip facility). Water acquisition before vote = control of prerequisite infrastructure before public approval process. Sources: KBTX (June 26, 2026) · Houston Public Media · Data Center Dynamics.
AnthropicSpaceX Colossus Compute / Competing IPO ★ NEWFIRST CONNECTED HERE · June 1, 2026 — Anthropic files confidential S-1 June 1, 2026. $1.25B/month Colossus compute lease (SpaceX S-1 Note 18): 220,000+ NVIDIA GPUs, Colossus 1 and 2, Memphis. 90-day termination clause either party. Musk characterized arrangement as “military strategic reserve.” Two competing IPOs: SpaceX controls compute infrastructure of Anthropic. DOGE federal AI procurement visibility simultaneous with Musk’s SpaceX competing for same contracts. Quinn Emanuel = Musk personal counsel; Gibson Dunn = SpaceX corporate IPO counsel — two-firm split signals distinct personal liability exposure. CATASTROPHIC ORBIT FLAG
Willkie FarrPolymarket CLO pipelineNeal Kumar (Polymarket CLO) from Willkie Farr. GOTTLIEB, MICHAEL: $12,500 15d before AI chip export EO.
A&O ShearmanKuCoinConfirmed defense counsel — KuCoin CFTC $500K + DOJ $300M settlement (2024). Rescan needed (API timeout).
Sullivan & CromwellCFTC crypto defenseMajor CFTC crypto enforcement defense practice. Already tracked.
Steptoe & JohnsonCFTC regulatoryMajor CFTC regulatory advisory. 7 hits near policy events in current scan.
Source: Blood Money: The Casino, Part Two →  ·  NYT CFTC investigation May 21–22, 2026
ORBIT 12 SCOTUS TRADING WATCH POST-HUMPHREY’S EXECUTOR · JUNE 29 2026

Trump v. Slaughter (June 29, 2026) overturned Humphrey’s Executor — the court that eliminated independent enforcement of financial markets is now itself subject to financial disclosure scrutiny. All nine justices + spouses added to watchlist. Any trade in any sector during an active case involving that company should be flagged immediately.

THOMAS, CLARENCE CRITICAL ProPublica 2023: undisclosed gifts from Harlan Crow $4M+ (real estate, private jet, luxury vacations); Crow holds interests in companies with SCOTUS cases. Ginni Thomas lobbied Jan 6 — texted Meadows. Highest-priority SCOTUS financial disclosure watch.
THOMAS, VIRGINIA (Ginni) CRITICAL Liberty Consulting — clients include entities with SCOTUS cases. Testified Jan 6 committee. Any investment in defense/tech/financial sector cross-referenced with Clarence Thomas recusal record.
ALITO, SAMUEL HIGH ProPublica: undisclosed private jet with Paul Singer (Elliott Management / hedge fund) 2008 — Singer had cases before SCOTUS while Alito did not recuse. Declined Senate Judiciary testimony.
ROBERTS, JOHN (Chief Justice) HIGH Spouse Jane Roberts: $10.3M+ in law firm referral fees 2007-2014; firms argued before SCOTUS. Roberts declined Senate Judiciary interview on recusal. Ruled Trump v. Slaughter 6-3.
GORSUCH, NEIL HIGH WSJ 2022: sold property to Brian Duffy (Greenberg Traurig managing partner) 9 days after Senate confirmation; GT argued before SCOTUS. Anschutz (Colorado energy/media) connection. Ruled Trump v. Slaughter 6-3.
KAVANAUGH, BRETT HIGH Financial disclosures showed $60-200K credit card debt paid off 2006 — never fully explained. Marble Freedom Trust funded confirmation. Ruled Trump v. Slaughter 6-3.
BARRETT, AMY CONEY HIGH Marble Freedom Trust funded confirmation. Notre Dame Law faculty — monitor Notre Dame-adjacent or Catholic health system trades. Ruled Trump v. Slaughter 6-3.
SOTOMAYOR, SONIA MEDIUM Standard watch. Book income (monitor publishing/media). No undisclosed gift pattern documented.
KAGAN, ELENA MEDIUM Standard watch. No undisclosed gift or trade pattern documented.
JACKSON, KETANJI BROWN MEDIUM Spouse Patrick Jackson = Harvard-trained vascular surgeon. Monitor biotech/pharma/medical device trades given healthcare sector SCOTUS cases. Standard watch otherwise.
WATCHLIST STATUS: All 9 justices + spouses added to detector watchlist June 30, 2026. Financial disclosures filed annually under Judicial Conference rules (not Form 4). Any detectable trade in company with active/pending SCOTUS case = IMMEDIATE FLAG. Cross-reference: Thomas/Crow, Alito/Singer, Roberts/Jane placement fees, Gorsuch/Duffy property sale. Source: ProPublica Supreme Court ethics series (2023-2026) · Senate Judiciary Committee investigation 2023.
ORBIT 10

Live Options Cluster — PLTR June 12 / OXY June 18 / CVX June 18

SCAN DATE: June 11, 2026 — EXPIRES TOMORROW

Options scan June 11: 2,486 flagged contracts across Defense, Energy, Tanker. PLTR straddle on June 12 expiry — same day SpaceX SPCX begins trading (Luke Nosek on both PLTR board via Founders Fund/Thiel network AND SpaceX board). OXY $37.5 calls: 1,093× VOL/OI with near-zero open interest. CVX $145c June 18: 72.5×. HAL $20c: IV=339%. All scored PRE_MILITARY_0d against Pentagon IG Minab school report deadline (June 11–12).

TickerContractVolumeVOL/OIIVScoreFlag
OXY$37.5c Jun189,8401,093×229%7.0NEAR-ZERO OI · HIGH_IV
CVX$145c Jun188,33372.5×116%7.0LARGE_VOL · PRE_MILITARY
OXY$42.5c Jun186,564298×185%7.0NEAR-ZERO OI · HIGH_IV
PLTR$135c Jun12 ⚡11,3342.8×63%6.0EXPIRES JUNE 12 — SPCX IPO DAY
PLTR$128p Jun12 ⚡10,6592.3×60%6.0STRADDLE — THIEL NETWORK
HAL$20c Jun182,4507.5×339%6.0EXTREME_IV · HAL=Halliburton
RTX$135c Jun182,02133.7×156%6.0HIGH_IV · DEFENSE
PLTR Connection: Luke Nosek (SpaceX board director, July 2008) is a Founders Fund GP — Peter Thiel's fund which holds Palantir equity. PLTR June 12 straddle = massive options positioning expiring the same day SPCX begins trading. Nosek sits on both boards simultaneously. Thiel is outside government — no STOCK Act, no Form 4 required. Pattern only visible via options flow + board cross-reference.

OXY Context: Iran deal announced June 11. Crude fell 4.2%. OXY calls at $37.5 (1,093× VOL/OI) with near-zero OI = almost entirely new positioning opened June 11. If OXY falls further on peace deal repricing, these deep ITM calls become directional bets on recovery. Cross-reference against John Hess $109M discretionary CVX sales (no 10b5-1) and Casino Part Three oil shorts series.

AXON Pattern (June 29, 2026): Trump disclosed $1–5M AXON purchase Feb 10 in Q1 OGE 278 filing. ICE posted $220M Taser contract solicitation Feb 24 — 14 days later; specs effectively exclude rivals. AXON insiders sold $60M in 2026: $6.5M in February (after ICE notice), $7.2M March, $42.8M in June. Top sellers: Isner ($19.7M), Smith ($15.2M), Bagley ($10.9M). Presidential buy → contract announcement → insider liquidation. CNBC: no evidence Trump knew of procurement in advance. Source: CNBC June 29 2026 · OGE 278 Q1 2026 · SEC Form 4 EDGAR.
Source: options_summary.json scan date 2026-06-11 · unusual_options.csv · Iran Tab → · Kalshi → · Suspects →
ORBIT 11

Kazakhstan Tungsten — Trump Sons + Lutnick Sons Critical Minerals Empire

NYT Investigation · June 28, 2026

NYT investigation (Paul Sonne + Eric Lipton, June 28 2026): Trump administration used national-security critical minerals rationale to steer federal financing to a Kazakhstan tungsten project where Trump sons and Lutnick sons hold financial stakes. Commerce Secretary Lutnick facilitated. One firm — Dominari Securities (Trump Tower) — appears in both the drone deal (Orbit 8, Powerus reverse merger) and the Kazakhstan tungsten deal. 14 Trump-Lutnick connected companies actively receiving federal critical minerals support.

Individual / EntityRoleConnectionFlag
Donald Trump Jr. Investor via Dominari Securities 20% stake in Kaz Resources Kazakhstan tungsten project. Dominari Securities (Trump Tower) = financial advisor on deal. Also: Powerus drone (Orbit 8), Kalshi/Polymarket adviser (1789 Capital). EMOLUMENTS · ETHICS
Eric Trump Investor via Dominari Securities 20% stake in Kaz Resources alongside Don Jr. Also: American Bitcoin CSO, ALT5/WLFI, Powerus drone. Son of president who controls Commerce, BIS, and critical minerals financing. ETHICS · FARA
Howard Lutnick Commerce Secretary Facilitated September 2025 meeting between Commerce and Kazakhstan President Tokayev. Commerce/BIS controls critical minerals export licenses. Signed off on up to $1.6B federal financing for Kaz Resources. CONFLICT · CABINET
Brandon + Kyle Lutnick Cantor Fitzgerald (father's firm) Raised $210M in new capital for the lead Kaz Resources investors — same deal where Trump sons hold 20% stake via Dominari. Cantor Fitzgerald = SPCX co-manager underwriter (Orbit 5). Two federal roles, one family, two connected deals. CANTOR DUAL ROLE
Kaz Resources US-linked tungsten company, Kazakhstan Major undeveloped tungsten reserve. Federal financing up to $1.6B approved (preliminary, subject to additional approvals). Tungsten = critical for weapons systems, aircraft, chip manufacturing. China dominates global supply — national security rationale used to steer deal. $1.6B FEDERAL FINANCING
Dominari Securities Trump Tower financial advisor DUAL ORBIT FLAG — FIRST CONNECTED HERE: appears in Orbit 8 (Powerus reverse merger transaction advisor) AND Orbit 11 (Kazakhstan Kaz Resources 20% stake). Trump Tower firm acting as financial intermediary for Trump sons across multiple government-adjacent deals simultaneously. DUAL ORBIT FLAG
Legal exposure: Emoluments Clause (foreign government-facilitated deal); Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (Kazakhstani officials on take per Krugman/NYT framing); STOCK Act (if sons received material non-public information on financing timeline). Neither Kazakhstan nor the US government has confirmed the $1.6B is disbursed — preliminary approvals only. National-security tungsten rationale is real; the collision with family financial interests is also real and documented.
Source: NYT: "Trump's Sons Stand to Profit From a Critical Minerals Deal His Administration Helped Advance" (Paul Sonne + Eric Lipton, June 28 2026) · FT: Trump sons invested in US group developing $1.1B tungsten project · Mediaite · Mining.com
ORBIT 9

Kushner / Witkoff — Iran Deal Financial Architecture Confirmed

CONFIRMED JUNE 11, 2026

The 14-point Iran MOU framework was transmitted via Pakistan. Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff confirmed as simultaneous Iran + Cuba negotiators. Witkoff visited Oak Ridge National Laboratory June 5 — the US nuclear enrichment facility. Pakistan listed among confirming parties in June 11 deal announcement. Trump announced deal "pretty much all wrapped up" at 2:55 PM June 11 — same day SpaceX IPO priced at $135/sh. Dow surged 930 points within 40 minutes.

Individual / EntityRoleConnection / Flag
Jared KushnerIran + Cuba simultaneous negotiator. Affinity Partners ($2B Saudi AUM)Pakistan back-channel confirmed. Affinity Partners: $2B from Saudi PIF (MBS). UAE/Gulf SWF positioning in USD1/SpaceX. Witkoff/Kushner designed $300B Iran reconstruction fund (NYT confirmed). 90-day commercial clock: Cuba window to Aug 14 + Iran financial settlement architecture. FOREIGN CAPITAL · NO DIVESTITURE
Steve WitkoffSpecial Envoy — Iran, Russia, Middle EastOak Ridge National Laboratory visit June 5, 2026 — US nuclear enrichment facility. Witkoff holds real estate portfolio with active Gulf investor relationships. Simultaneous Iran + Russia + Cuba negotiating role. ETHICS — NO DIVESTITURE
Pakistan ISI / Government
Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir
Back-channel broker14-point MOU framework transmitted via Pakistan. Araghchi → Pakistan first (June 7 confirmed). Pakistan listed in June 11 announcement. USD1 Pakistan signed as Hormuz transit currency. Army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir is the operational counterpart, not just PM Sharif — Vance: "I have probably talked to Field Marshal Munir more than I have talked to anybody else over the last three months."
USD1 / WLFISettlement currency candidate22.5B tokens. UAE 49% stake. Pakistan signed. GENIUS Act provides statutory basis. Trump family $2.3B crypto gain (Reuters confirmed). Financial settlement annex not yet public. Watch European signing ceremony — what currency are frozen assets denominated in?
QatarParallel back-channel + $24B/$12B frozen asset route + Venezuela oil conduitQatar SWF: equity in SpaceX IPO. $24B frozen Iranian assets routed via Qatar (simultaneous with Pakistan channel); $12B release split $6B/$6B finalized in Switzerland. Now also the conduit for Venezuela oil revenue under EO 14373. Qatar = structural match for USD1 settlement conduit. Venezuela Oil →
Watch — September 24, 2026: Xi Jinping at the White House. China holds ~$40B in frozen Iranian assets. Panama ports deal ($23B CK Hutchison) in Chinese antitrust review. Chip export relief. Taiwan posture. The June 11 announcement is Chapter One. September 24 is the real closing.
Sources: NYT (Witkoff/Kushner $300B reconstruction fund) · Reuters (USD1 $2.3B Trump family gain) · New York Post (Trump "pretty much all wrapped up" June 11, 2:55 PM) · Pakistan MOU transmission (AP, June 11) · The Old Goat Was Right →
ORBIT 8

Powerus / Aureus Greenway Holdings — Trump Sons Drone War Orbit

FIRST CONNECTED HERE · June 9, 2026

Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. invested in Powerus via American Venture Partners (March 2026) — reverse merger with Florida golf course holding company Aureus Greenway Holdings. Air Force Guardian-2 limited procurement contract placed April 30, 2026. Contract value undisclosed. No competitive bid documented. Powerus-Swarmer MOU integrates Ukraine combat-tested swarm software (Erik Prince, Non-Exec Chairman). June 9, 2026: Iranian Shahed drone ($35K) destroys U.S. Army Apache AH-64 ($33M). 1,000:1 cost ratio. Source: The Drone Monopoly →

Entity / IndividualRoleConnectionFlags
Eric TrumpInvestor — American Venture PartnersCap table: Powerus/Aureus Greenway Holdings (reverse merger, March 2026). Son of sitting president who controls drone procurement timeline.ETHICS · FARA
Donald Trump Jr.Investor — American Venture PartnersCap table: Powerus/Aureus Greenway Holdings. Also adviser to Kalshi and Polymarket (1789 Capital). Son of president who delayed direct Ukraine drone transfer.ETHICS · KALSHI CONFLICT
Erik PrinceSwarmer Non-Executive ChairmanSwarmer (Ukraine drone software, 100K+ combat missions, Nasdaq IPO +700%). Swarmer-Powerus MOU: integrate Ukrainian swarm software with Powerus air/maritime platforms. Joined board February 2026 — same month Iran war began.BLACKWATER NETWORK
Powerus LLCDrone Manufacturer — Guardian-2 interceptorWest Palm Beach; founded by former Army Special Operations veterans. Air Force limited procurement order April 30, 2026 (value undisclosed). Guardian-2 = counter-drone interceptor against Shahed-class targets.NO COMPETITIVE BID DOCUMENTED
Aureus Greenway HoldingsReverse merger vehicle (golf courses)Florida golf course holding company. Nasdaq-listed shell used to take Powerus public via reverse merger. Golf courses near Orlando cited as drone testing grounds. Dominari Securities (Trump Tower) = transaction financial advisor.TRUMP TOWER FINTECH
Korea Corporate Governance Improvement Fund$50M investor in Powerus$50M backing of Powerus. South Korean capital funding the Trump sons' drone interceptor company during an active war the president controls.FOREIGN CAPITAL
SwarmerUkraine swarm software — Nasdaq IPO +700%100,000+ real-world Ukrainian combat missions. MOU with Powerus to integrate Ukrainian swarm AI with Trump family drone platform. The Ukraine drone pipeline the government delayed — now running through the family.UKRAINE PIPELINE · CONFLICT
Open Questions — STOCK Act · FARA · Ethics: Contract value? Competitive bid? Trump sons' current stake valuation? Pentagon communications with sons re: procurement timelines? Who signed the limited procurement order? Powerus-Swarmer MOU and Ukrainian export restrictions?
Sources: Bloomberg (Apr 30, 2026) · PBS NewsHour (Apr 3, 2026) · The Hill (Mar 12, 2026) · CBS News (Mar 18, 2026) · NYT/WSJ (Jun 9, 2026) · Richard Painter/CBS News · The Drone Monopoly dispatch →
ORBIT 7

SpaceX S-1 — Board Network & Self-Dealing Map

SEC S-1 filed 2026-05-20 · CIK 1181412 · Accession 0001628280-26-036936

SpaceX filed its S-1 on May 20, 2026. 2025 revenue: $18.67B. Operating loss: -$2.59B. Board appointed Feb 2026 (Ehrenpreis, Glein) — same month xAI merged into SpaceX (Feb 2, 2026). Source: public SEC EDGAR filing. All figures from audited consolidated financial statements.

NameRoleOther AffiliationsBoard SinceConflicts / Flags
Elon Musk CEO / CTO / Chairman Tesla (CEO) · Neuralink · Boring Company · X/xAI (merged Feb 2026) May 2002 SEC SETTLEMENT $20M civil penalty (2018 Tesla tweet). xAI CEO + SpaceX CEO during merger — self-approval conflict.
Gwynne Shotwell President / COO / Director Polaris Inc. (board) · Northwestern Univ. trustees Mar 2009 Attorney-in-fact for Musk and Johnsen per S-1 signature page. Signs all SEC filings.
Bret Johnsen CFO USC Trustee · Previously Broadcom VP/Controller · Mindspeed CFO Signs all SEC filings with Shotwell per power of attorney.
Ira Ehrenpreis Director Tesla board · DBL Partners (founder/managing member) · Stanford Precourt Energy Feb 2026 DUAL BOARD On Tesla board while SpaceX buys $637M from Tesla (2025). Ehrenpreis joined SpaceX board same month xAI merged.
Randy Glein Director DFJ Growth (co-founder/managing partner) · Previously FeedBurner CFO (acq. Google) · Hughes Space / DIRECTV Feb 2026 (observer 2009) Board observer 17 years before formal appointment. DFJ Growth invests in 100+ growth-stage tech companies — undisclosed SpaceX-adjacent portfolio possible.
Antonio J. Gracias Director Valor Management LLC (CEO/CIO, $55B AUM) · Neuralink board (May 2026) · Boring Company board (May 2026) · Prev. Tesla Lead Independent Director 2007–2021 Oct 2010 SELF-DEALING Valor Equity Partners (Gracias's firm) leased AI hardware to CTC (xAI/SpaceX sub). Resulted in $4.507B in debt ($455M current + $4.052B long-term) on SpaceX balance sheet + $66M interest (2025). Failed sale-leaseback per auditors.
Donald Harrison Director Google LLC President, Global Partnerships & Corp Dev · Reliance Jio board (India's largest telecom) Feb 2015 COMPETITOR CONFLICT Active Google executive on SpaceX board. Google Cloud and Starlink compete in broadband/cloud. Harrison leads Google partnership/M&A strategy = access to SpaceX competitive intelligence.
Steve Jurvetson Director Future Ventures (co-founder) · The Metals Company (board) · Prev. DFJ managing director · Prev. Tesla board 2009–2020 · D-Wave investor Mar 2009 Future Ventures actively deploying VC while holding SpaceX board access = information asymmetry in space/tech sector.
Luke Nosek Director Gigafund (co-founder/managing partner) · Founders Fund GP (2006–2017) · PayPal co-founder (with Musk) · Last Energy (nuclear SMR) · Prev. DeepMind board Jul 2008 THIEL NETWORK Founders Fund = Peter Thiel / Palantir nexus (see ORBIT 2). Gigafund is dedicated SpaceX investment vehicle. Nosek manages fund while sitting on SpaceX board.
1B SHARES — MARS COLONY CLAUSE
Jan 13, 2026: Board approved 1,000,000,000 Class B shares to Musk
Vest only upon: (1) 15 market cap tranches ($500B → multi-trillion) AND (2) permanent human colony on Mars with ≥1 million inhabitants. Both conditions required per tranche. Milestones adjusted when xAI merged Feb 2, 2026.
TESLA SELF-DEALING — $637M
SpaceX buys from Tesla while Ehrenpreis sits on both boards
2025: $506M Megapacks + $131M Cybertrucks at MSRP from Tesla → SpaceX PP&E. 2024: $191M Megapacks. Musk is CEO of both. Ehrenpreis on both boards. Confirmed in Note 18.
MUSK $1.42B PRE-IPO STOCK PURCHASE
Musk trust bought $1,421M of SpaceX common stock from employees (2025)
Elon Musk, through his trust, purchased $1.421B of common stock from current and former SpaceX employees in 2025 — before S-1 filing. Price not disclosed in Note 18. Pre-IPO pricing advantage undisclosed.
GRACIAS / VALOR — $4.507B CONFLICT
Board member's firm holds $4.5B claim on SpaceX via failed leaseback
Oct–Nov 2025: Valor Equity Partners (Gracias) leased AI hardware to CTC (xAI/SpaceX sub). Auditors: failed sale-leaseback → $455M current + $4.052B long-term debt. $66M interest 2025. Gracias joined Neuralink + Boring Company boards May 2026 — same month as S-1.
Source: SpaceX S-1 · SEC EDGAR CIK 1181412 · Filed 2026-05-20 · Accession 0001628280-26-036936 · Note 18 (Related Party Transactions) · Executive Compensation section · Board of Directors section
ORBIT 4 — RECIPROCAL TARIFF LITIGANTS
Liberation Day $2.4T Crash Correlations
Watch these firms for partner-level donations or stock sales within 48hrs of Liberation Day (Apr 2, 2025):
Sidley Austin · Crowell & Moring · Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld · Steptoe & Johnson
Cross-ref partner trades with Major, Lindsey & Africa placements same quarter = cluster signal.
ORBIT 3 — JUDICIAL & ADMINISTRATION
SCOTUS Pipeline / "Generally Met" Disclosures
IndividualRoleLaw Firm
Jane Sullivan RobertsLegal Recruiter (Roberts spouse)Major, Lindsey & Africa
Leonard LeoFederalist Society / Marble Freedom TrustJones Day / Consovoy McCarthy
Dan ScavinoWH Deputy Chief of Staff
Pam BondiAttorney General
Watch: Kirkland & Ellis Appellate Group · Sullivan & Cromwell (financial reg) · Consovoy McCarthy (constitutional)
ORBIT 2 — DEFENSE & INTELLIGENCE
$2.1B Palantir Iran Theater Contract
IndividualRoleLaw Firm
Alex KarpPalantir CEOSusman Godfrey
Peter ThielFounders Fund / PLTRSkadden Arps
Palmer LuckeyAnduril FounderSkadden Arps
Trae StephensAnduril / Founders FundWiley Rein
ORBIT 1 — AI & CRYPTO
GENIUS Act / World Liberty Financial
IndividualRoleLaw Firm
Elon MuskTesla/xAI/DOGEQuinn Emanuel
Sam AltmanOpenAI CEOLatham & Watkins
David SacksAI/Crypto Czar
Marc Andreessena16z GPGunderson Dettmer
Ben Horowitza16z GPGunderson Dettmer
Brian ArmstrongCoinbase CEOFenwick & West
DETECTION METHOD — THE CLUSTER EFFECT
  1. Identify a Policy Event date on the dashboard.
  2. Search for partner-level donations or stock sales from Kirkland, Jones Day, or Skadden within 48 hours of that date.
  3. Cross-reference those partners with Major, Lindsey & Africa recruitment placements in the same quarter.
Signal: A law firm partner selling tech stocks the day before a tariff announcement, while their firm represents the affected company = documented institutional front-running.
DOCUMENTED — OIL FUTURES & POLYMARKET FRONT-RUNNING
$3.2B in Suspicious Oil Shorts + Polymarket Insider Trades — Five for Five
DateTradeEvent (minutes later)Est. Profit
Jun 3, 2026Kalshi WTI >$93.99 — 6.6× spike, 1,676 tradesQeshm Island strikes (pre-event)est. $50M+
May 7, 2026 03:40$920M crude shortAxios Iran peace report (+70 min)~$125M
Apr 17, 2026$750M crude shortIran FM: Hormuz open (+20 min)est. $90M+
Apr 7, 2026$950M crude shortTrump ceasefire announcementest. $115M+
Mar 23, 2026$580M crude shortTrump pauses strikes (+15 min)est. $70M+
Polymarket: Mystery Iran trader (~$1M, 93% win rate) · "Magamyman" ($553K on Ali Khamenei death) · MSgt Gannon Ken Van Dyke (arrested: $400K on Maduro capture using classified intel) · Donald Trump Jr. is adviser to Polymarket; 1789 Capital invested millions in platform.
LIVE DATA

Law Firm Partner Donations — Near Policy Events (30 scored · 7 cluster flags)

FEC employer-based search: $10,000+ donations within ±30 days of key policy events. Pre-event weighted 2×. CLUSTER = donor also appears in insider trades near same event.

A&O Shearman — merger note: Allen & Overy and Shearman & Sterling merged in May 2023 to form A&O Shearman. FEC records filed under legacy names (pre-merger) predate all tracked policy events (earliest: Mar 2025) and score 0. One pattern flagged: BASKIN, STUART (Shearman & Sterling) — 3× $10K donations, 11–13 days after China Tariff Wave 2 (EXTREME severity). Post-event timing is consistent with a firm positioning after tariff policy crystallized (trade & sanctions practice). No A&O Shearman-era donations (post-May 2023, filed under new name) returned from FEC — data gap or low filing rate under new brand.
ScoreFirmDonor / RoleAmountDateCommitteeTimingPolicy Event
420Kirkland & EllisLEVY, JENNIFER
ATTORNEY
$30,000 (3 contributions summed)2025-10-01ACTBLUE0d BEFORE eventChina Rare Earth Export Controls
407Steptoe & JohnsonESSERMAN, SUSAN GAYLE ESQ.
ATTORNEY
$30,000 (3 contributions summed)2026-04-28DEMOCRATIC STATE CENTRAL COM1d BEFORE eventLouisiana v. Callais (VRA)
394Quinn EmanuelTAYBACK, CHRISTOPHER
ATTORNEY
$24,000 (2 contributions summed)2026-04-27FIRST STATE VICTORY FUND 2022d BEFORE eventLouisiana v. Callais (VRA)
393Jones DayANTHONY, REBECCA
ATTORNEY
$10,0002026-04-27TALARICO FOR TEXAS2d BEFORE eventLouisiana v. Callais (VRA)
393Kirkland & EllisFILIP, MARK RCLUSTER
ATTORNEY
$10,0002025-09-29PETE RICKETTS VICTORY FUND2d BEFORE eventChina Rare Earth Export Controls
393Steptoe & JohnsonBELCHER, LESLIE A.CLUSTER
PUBLIC POLICY
$20,000 (2 contributions summed)2025-03-31NRCC2d BEFORE eventLiberation Day Tariffs
380Paul WeissROSENBERG, ANDREW
LAWYER
$30,500 (3 contributions summed)2026-04-26WINRED3d BEFORE eventLouisiana v. Callais (VRA)
380Paul WeissBOEHNING, H. CHRISTOPHER
ATTORNEY
$60,000 (5 contributions summed)2026-04-26DSCC3d BEFORE eventLouisiana v. Callais (VRA)
367Kirkland & EllisPERL, SANFORD
ATTORNEY
$157,000 (6 contributions summed)2025-03-29YOUNG VICTORY COMMITTEE4d BEFORE eventLiberation Day Tariffs
353Paul WeissZIMAN, KEN
LAWYER
$10,0002025-09-26UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('U5d BEFORE eventChina Rare Earth Export Controls
327Kirkland & EllisPORTER, RICHARD W. MR.
PARTNER
$73,330 (5 contributions summed)2025-09-24EMMER MAJORITY BUILDERS7d BEFORE eventChina Rare Earth Export Controls
324Gibson DunnPOLLACK, JOHN M.CLUSTER
PARTNER
$289,200 (7 contributions summed)2026-03-23HOUSE VICTORY PROJECT 20260d BEFORE eventTrump Pauses Iran Strikes
323Wiley ReinSHIELDS, PETERCLUSTER
ATTORNEY
$44,3002026-05-04DSCC0d BEFORE eventSCOTUS Expedited Map Order
320Kirkland & EllisCHAMP, NORMAN B. III
LAWYER
$270,900 (10 contributions summed)2026-03-23GROW THE MAJORITY0d BEFORE eventTrump Pauses Iran Strikes
320Wachtell LiptonHEIN, PETER C MR.
ATTORNEY
$20,000 (2 contributions summed)2026-05-04NY REPUBLICAN FEDERAL CAMPAI0d BEFORE eventSCOTUS Expedited Map Order
312Latham & WatkinsEDWARDS, LINDA
LAWYER
$20,0002026-05-03TEAM RAND1d BEFORE eventSCOTUS Expedited Map Order
310Sidley AustinLEWIS, KEVINCLUSTER
ATTORNEY
$20,000 (2 contributions summed)2026-05-20TEXAS DEMOCRATIC PARTY1d BEFORE eventCRML-REalloys 15-Year Offtake Signe
302Sullivan & CromwellCOHEN, HENRY RODGIN
ATTORNEY
$69,000 (4 contributions summed)2026-05-19JFW FUND2d BEFORE eventCRML-REalloys 15-Year Offtake Signe
300Paul WeissWEDEL, ERIC
LAWYER
$24,000 (2 contributions summed)2025-04-07ACTBLUE2d BEFORE eventTariff Pause / Market Pump
281Quinn EmanuelBURCK, WILLIAM
LAWYER
$80,974 (4 contributions summed)2025-05-08ONE TEAM SENATE MAJORITY4d BEFORE eventChina 90-Day Tariff Suspension
274Quinn EmanuelBUNGE, JON
ATTORNEY
$435,900 (9 contributions summed)2026-04-02OSSOFF VICTORY FUND5d BEFORE eventIran Ceasefire Announced
260Kirkland & EllisBENTLEY, JASON
ATTORNEY
$10,0002026-02-09REPUBLICAN PARTY OF KENTUCKY0d BEFORE eventKeane Joins REalloys Board
260Perkins CoieBURMAN, DAVID
ATTORNEY
$20,000 (2 contributions summed)2026-03-15DELBENE DEMOCRATIC MAJORITY 0d BEFORE eventCFTC Staff Culling — Berdansky/Varm
257Gibson DunnLEVINE, MEL
ATTORNEY
$500,000 (2 contributions summed)2026-05-14NEW ERA LEADERSHIP7d BEFORE eventCRML-REalloys 15-Year Offtake Signe
256Kirkland & EllisFARRELL, MICHAEL
ATTORNEY
$250,000 (5 contributions summed)2026-04-21MICHAEL FARRELL FOR UTAH1d BEFORE eventPalantir $2.1B Iran Contract
254Latham & WatkinsCLUBOK, ANDREW
LAWYER
$132,900 (6 contributions summed)2025-10-31ACTBLUE1d BEFORE eventPolymarket 1789 Capital / Trump Jr.
254Kirkland & EllisBROWN, REGINALD J.CLUSTER
LAWYER
$385,600 (9 contributions summed)2026-03-31GROW THE MAJORITY7d BEFORE eventIran Ceasefire Announced
228Jones DayLIEBMAN, HOWARD MCLUSTER
ATTORNEY
$40,000 (2 contributions summed)2026-03-11VOTEVETS4d BEFORE eventCFTC Staff Culling — Berdansky/Varm
228Paul WeissWELLS, THEODORE
ATTORNEY
$20,000 (2 contributions summed)2025-05-15ACTBLUE4d BEFORE eventGENIUS Act Passes Senate
224Kirkland & EllisRITCHIE, STEPHEN
ATTORNEY
$80,000 (3 contributions summed)2026-02-04AFFORDABLE CHICAGO NOW! (ACN5d BEFORE eventKeane Joins REalloys Board
Source: FEC OpenFEC API · orbit_law_firm_scan.py · Deduplicated July 18, 2026: one row per donor per firm, multiple FEC contributions summed and counted (previously one row per contribution, which repeated the same donor up to 10×) · Under review — not published
The Architecture Mapped — Click Any Zone to Read the Investigation
The Scaffolding Is The Story — infographic mapping the financial architecture of the Iran war