Insider Trading Investigation Dashboard

Political Donation & Insider Trade Correlation Analysis
Generated: July 27, 2026  |  Sources: SEC EDGAR Form 4, FEC OpenFEC API, Capitol Trades Data: Jun 15, 2024 → Jul 23, 2026
Overview All Suspects Crypto & Digital STOCK Act Donors Timeline Cases Liquidations Stories Iran War Intel Kalshi Markets Published in VELOCITY Open Investigations Influence Orbit Detention Inc. Venezuela Oil About
DETENTION INC.

The Warehouse and Dark Money Network

This layer tracks a different mechanism than the rest of the dashboard. Elsewhere, the trade is a security and the insider is an executive with material nonpublic information. Here, the trade is a government contract or a real estate sale, and the insider is a federal contractor, a former agency official now working for the vendor, or a property seller capturing a price far above any market comparable — timed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed July 4, 2025, which nearly tripled ICE's budget and funded a $45 billion detention expansion.

Three threads, tracked separately below: (1) the warehouse-to-detention-center real estate pipeline, where the federal government paid systematic premiums — in several cases multiples, not percentages — above assessed or recent sale value; (2) the political money network connecting GEO Group, CoreCivic, and MTC to members of Congress, including a dark-money payment to an entity run by a sitting committee chairman's former chief of staff; and (3) a $220M no-bid DHS advertising contract and a separate Inspector General probe into alleged pay-to-play contracting under Kristi Noem's former top adviser, Corey Lewandowski.

Noem was reassigned out of DHS in spring 2026 amid the ad-contract scrutiny, the Lewandowski IG investigation, and the Minneapolis ICE enforcement deaths; her successor, Markwayne Mullin, arrived at the agency already carrying two unrelated integrity threads documented elsewhere on this site (BlackRock/GIP summit timing, STOCK Act delinquency — see VELOCITY — "The Speaker List and the Threat"). The transition replaced one undisclosed-conflict set with another, not a clean break.

$1.074B
spent on 11+ warehouses
across 8 states
2x–9.6x
markup over assessed/
prior sale value (worst cases)
$4,425,400
GEO Group political
spending, 2025 alone
$250,000
dark money to a chairman's
former chief of staff
1
Senate inquiry opened
(Warren / Raskin)
$220M
no-bid DHS ad contracts,
recipient incorporated 8-11d prior
1
DHS Inspector General probe
(Lewandowski / Noem)

Section I — The Warehouse Pricing Pattern

Real Estate Reengineering Initiative — sale price vs. assessed/prior value. Sites flagged where the federal purchase price exceeds tax-assessed value or documented prior sale price by a wide margin. Score reflects markup severity, seller political/foreign exposure, and timing proximity to the July 2025 budget bill or subsequent local legal challenges.

#Site / ClosedSellerPrice PaidPrior Value / BasisMarkupScoreFlags
1Social Circle, GA
Feb 2026
PNK S1 LLC (PNK Group USA — founded by Andrey Sharkov, former Russian national)$128.5M$29.4M (2024 land purchase; built 2025)4.4x in ~18 mo27/20FOREIGN SELLER · RUSSIA-LINKED · CONGRESSIONAL INQUIRY · ABANDONED POST-PURCHASE
2Oakwood / Flowery Branch, GA
Feb 18, 2026
CRP/AI Oakwood Owner (Carlyle Group + Alliance Industrial)$68M$7.1M (2025 county appraisal)9.6x appraised25/20PE FIRM SELLER · EXTREME MARKUP
3Roxbury, NJ
Feb 19, 2026
DG Roxbury Property Owner (Goldman Sachs Asset Mgmt + Dalfen Industrial)$129.3M~$62M tax-assessed2.1x assessed23/20BANK SELLER · SENATE CONFRONTATION · ABANDONED POST-PURCHASE
4Berks / Hamburg, PA
Feb 2, 2026
Undisclosed (Hamburg Logistics Center)$87.4M$57.5M (2024 sale)1.5x in ~2 yr19/20RAPID FLIP · LOCAL OPPOSITION · ABANDONED POST-PURCHASE
5Tremont / Schuylkill, PA
Feb 2026
Blue Owl Capital$119.5MNot yet researchedTBD17/20NEAR DAYCARE SITE · ASSET MANAGER SELLER
6Surprise, AZ
2026
Undisclosed$70MNot yet researchedTBD14/20CAPACITY REDUCED POST-PURCHASE (1,500→542 beds)
7Salt Lake City, UT
2026
Undisclosed$145MNot yet researchedTBD14/20LARGEST SINGLE PURCHASE IN DATASET
8San Antonio, TX
2026
Undisclosed$35MNot yet researchedTBD10/20SMALLEST PURCHASE IN DATASET
9Hagerstown, MD
2026
Undisclosed$102.4MNot yet researchedTBD14/20NEEDS BASIS RESEARCH
10Romulus, MI
2026
Not yet researchedNot yet researchedTBDABANDONED — AG LAWSUIT (environmental/zoning)

Unresearched named sellers requiring ownership/donor cross-reference: PCCP, Fundrise, Rockefeller Group, Oakmont Industrial Group, Flint Development, Crestlight Capital.

Methodology note — markup severity: CoStar's own market analysis (Feb 26, 2026) found ICE paying an 11–13% average premium, with "some properties trading at over 30% above recent comparable trades." The entries above exceed that baseline by an order of magnitude in at least three cases (Social Circle, Oakwood, Roxbury) — the threshold for inclusion in this table rather than treatment as routine government-procurement premium.
ACTIVE CONGRESSIONAL INQUIRY — PNK GROUP / SOCIAL CIRCLE

Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Rep. Jamie Raskin sent formal questions to PNK Group owner Andrey Sharkov regarding the Social Circle transaction, as part of a broader probe into "government contractors, real estate firms, and property owners who may have corruptly profited" from ICE sales. PNK Group USA says it severed ties to its Russian parent in 2023; Sharkov says he has renounced Russian citizenship. The land was purchased for $29.4M in 2024, built out in 2025, and sold to the federal government for $128.5M — a 4.4x basis in under two years, to the same federal government simultaneously negotiating sanctions relief and frozen-asset questions with Russia in the Iran MOU architecture.

Status: UNRESOLVED. No findings of wrongdoing have been published. Treat as an open inquiry, not a conclusion.

Section II — The Political Money Network

GEO GROUP — 2025 POLITICAL SPENDING: $4,425,400

DateVehicleRecipientAmountNotes
Jul 15, 2025GEO Group Inc. Political Contribution Account (not PAC)American Liberty Action Fund$250,00011 days after OBBBA signed. Recipient shares president/secretary/treasurer (Ray Yonkura) with American Liberty Foundation, a super PAC tied to Rep. Jim Jordan. Yonkura served as Jordan's chief of staff for ~10 years.
Oct 2025GEO Reentry Services LLC (subsidiary)MAGA, Inc.$1,000,000First of three seven-figure payments in seven months
Mar 2026GEO Reentry Services LLC (subsidiary)MAGA, Inc.$1,000,000Second payment
Apr 2026GEO Reentry Services LLC (subsidiary)MAGA, Inc.$1,000,000Third payment
2022–2024GEO Group PACJim Jordan campaign$12,500Routine PAC giving, pre-dates the $250K dark money payment; no other Jordan-PAC link found before or since

Legal status: Federal contractors are categorically barred from contributing to super PACs. GEO argues some subsidiaries are exempt because they don't directly hold federal contracts. Campaign Legal Center has filed an FEC complaint alleging an illegal, misreported contribution. Unresolved as of this writing.

A dual role, not just one-directional influence-buying: GEO Group's spending above is documented as a political donor. Separately, per Section IV below, GEO is named as an alleged extortion target — reportedly cut off from new DHS contracts after rejecting a Lewandowski retainer demand. Paying multiple players in the same DHS ecosystem while one of them allegedly retaliates for non-payment is consistent with a company protecting one revenue stream through several channels at once, not a single clean influence transaction.

THE REVOLVING DOOR

NamePrior RoleCurrent RoleConflict
David VenturellaFormer GEO Group executiveTapped to run ICE (2026)Reportedly hired into DHS by Tom Homan
Tom HomanFormer GEO Group consultantWhite House Border CzarHired Venturella; three House Judiciary Democrats raised written concerns to Homan in Aug 2025 — no public Republican response
Pam BondiFormer GEO Group lobbyistFormer US Attorney GeneralPre-existing lobbying relationship with the same contractor now benefiting from DOJ/DHS policy under her successor architecture

PRIVATE PRISON INDUSTRY — FIVE-YEAR CONGRESSIONAL GIVING (2021–2025)

CompanyPAC Giving to Current Members of CongressExecutive Personal Giving
GEO Group$280,000+George Zoley (Exec. Chairman): $1M+
CoreCivic$248,000+Damon Hininger (former CEO, departed 2025): $1M+
MTC (Management & Training Corp)$147,000+Not yet researched

Party split: ~$500,000 to Republican members currently in office; ~$57,000 to Democratic members, 2021–2025 (The Appeal / In These Times investigation). Human cost context: 71% of the 38 deaths in ICE custody from 2025 through Feb 2026 occurred in for-profit facilities (Andrew Free / TRAC data, cited by The Appeal).

Section III — The Reversal

As of June 2026, DHS has abandoned conversion plans for at least four of the above sites — Romulus MI, Social Circle GA, Roxbury NJ, and the Berks County, PA cluster — after lawsuits and bipartisan local opposition, electing to sell or give away the properties rather than complete the planned $700M+ phase of buildouts. ICE states it remains committed to expanding capacity through state/county jail partnerships instead.

Open question, not yet resolved: at what price are the abandoned sites now being disposed of, to whom, and whether the realized loss (purchase price far above market, now resold or given away) represents a quantifiable taxpayer loss on top of the original overpayment documented in Section I. This is the next research priority for this page.

Section IV — The Ad Contract and the Lewandowski Network

A different DHS function (advertising, not real estate or PAC money) showing the same emergency-procurement-bypass mechanism as Sections I and II — and one that intersects Section II directly, since GEO Group is a named alleged target of the conduct described here.

THE $220 MILLION CAMPAIGN

Between February and August 2025, DHS awarded $220M in no-bid advertising contracts under an emergency-pathway justification tied to the border. Safe America Media, a Delaware LLC, was incorporated 8–11 days before it received a $143M award — independently confirmed by both ProPublica and Sen. John Kennedy.

EntityAmountAge at AwardListed AddressDisclosed Operations
Safe America Media LLC$143,000,0008–11 daysVirginia home of GOP operative Michael McElwainNone publicly verifiable at time of award
People Who Think$77,000,000Established firmLouisianaRepublican ad agency

THE SUBCONTRACTOR: THE STRATEGY GROUP

Safe America Media subcontracted the bulk of production to the Strategy Group, led by CEO Ben Yoho — married to Tricia McLaughlin, then-DHS spokesperson and head of the Office of Public Affairs, the same office that funded the contract. The Strategy Group ran Noem's 2022 SD gubernatorial campaign, received $8.5M in SD state ad contracts while Noem was governor (2023), and previously employed Lewandowski. After Senate pressure, it disclosed being paid $226,137.17 for "5 film shoots, 45 produced video advertisements, and 6 produced radio advertisements" — a fraction of the $143M; the remaining disposition is undisclosed, since sub-tier subcontractors aren't required to be made public in federal contracting databases.

The flagship ad — Noem on horseback at Mount Rushmore — generated a $60,000 signing bonus to the production company and $20,000 in horse rentals, per a breakdown obtained by Sens. Welch (D-VT) and Blumenthal (D-CT).

SCORE: 24/20

No-bid, emergency-pathway justification; recipient younger than two weeks at award; subcontractor led by the spouse of the official overseeing the funding office; same subcontractor network with pre-existing political ties to the approving Secretary; first-tier disclosure obtained only after Senate pressure; majority of $143M unaccounted for in public records.

THE LEWANDOWSKI EXTORTION ALLEGATIONS

Separately, NBC News reported (April 2026) that Corey Lewandowski, serving as a DHS Special Government Employee (statutory cap: 130 days/year; multiple reports allege he exceeded it), allegedly solicited kickbacks from contractors tied to the value of their DHS contracts — and, after GEO Group rejected a retainer counteroffer, allegedly directed a senior DHS official to stop awarding GEO further contracts in retaliation.

DateActionSource
Aug 2025House Oversight (Garcia) demands accounting of Lewandowski's SGE service daysoversightdemocrats.house.gov
Sep 2025Garcia demands public release of Lewandowski's financial disclosures, allegedly withheldoversightdemocrats.house.gov
Mar 20, 2026Three House Democrats accuse Lewandowski of "outsized and undue influence" over DHS contractingNewsNation
Mar 26, 2026DHS Inspector General opens "sprawling investigation" into Noem and Lewandowski's contract handlingCNN
Apr 2, 2026Probe expands to Salus Worldwide Solutions (CEO William Walters) — ~$1B, 3-yr DHS contract allegedly directed to fund Lewandowski-affiliated consultantsHouse Oversight
Apr 7, 2026NBC confirms multiple DHS contractors told White House officials they were asked to pay Lewandowski directlyNBC News
Apr 28, 2026Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) calls for formal Oversight investigation — bribery, Hobbs Act extortion, financial-interest statute concernsRep. Mace press release
Spring 2026DHS confirms to Reuters that Lewandowski "no longer has a role at DHS"Reuters/Hoodline

The New York Times reports Palantir is among the firms that raised concerns with DHS IG investigators about Lewandowski's conduct — an existing major federal contractor flagging the same pattern GEO Group allegedly experienced.

SCORE: 26/20

Bipartisan congressional concern (rare in this dataset); named federal IG investigation; named retaliation target (GEO Group) cross-references Section II above; second contractor (Salus, $1B) now implicated; a sitting Republican member of Congress has called for investigation.


Section V — The Reflecting Pool

The same emergency-procurement-bypass mechanism documented in Sections I, II and IV — a no-bid contract justified by manufactured urgency, awarded to a politically connected recipient, that overran budget and underperformed. What this entry adds: the recipient is not merely donor-adjacent but a twice-convicted felon (bribery of a sitting member of Congress; a separate campaign-finance crime), and the episode includes an on-record presidential accusation of "vandalism" against a private citizen for which no evidence has been produced — a deflection mechanism worth tracking as its own behavioral category.

THE CONTRACTS

Two no-bid federal contracts for the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool renovation, both justified under an "unusual and compelling urgency" exemption tied to the July 4, 2026 semiquincentennial deadline. Trump originally projected the project at $1.5–1.8M; aggregated final cost reached at least $14.2–16.4M.

ContractRecipientAmountJustificationOutcome
Floor sealant / waterproofingAtlantic Industrial Coatings
New Canton, VA
$14.7MJuly 4 deadline urgencyCoating detached and floated to surface within days of refill; NPS internal analysis found the contractor's profit margin "inflated"
Water purification ("Nano Bubble")Greenwater Services
Brookfield, OH · J.J. Cafaro Investment Trust
$1.7MSame exemption; NPS stated no time to solicit competing bidsMajor algae bloom within days; Interior called it "residual," outside experts disputed

THE RECIPIENT: JOHN J. CAFARO

Greenwater Services is owned by the J.J. Cafaro Investment Trust, led by John J. Cafaro — a Trump donor and Palm Beach neighbor (less than a mile from Mar-a-Lago) who has given over $300,000 to Trump-linked committees since 2016, including $250,000 to the Trump Victory fund in 2020 and $100,000 in 2024. Trump has praised him by name. Cafaro has two prior federal convictions: a guilty plea in a conspiracy to bribe then-Rep. James A. Traficant Jr. (D-OH), against whom he later testified; and a separate guilty plea to a campaign-finance crime.

Greenwater registered in Ohio on October 2, 2024 and filed for trade-name recognition May 27, 2025 — roughly six months old, with only one prior federal contract, when it received this no-bid award. Cafaro's own defense is notable for what it concedes: he said he holds no official position at Greenwater and does "not know how much" he owns — "I have so many different entities that I can't keep track of them." He also claimed he asked NPS to competitively bid the contract and was told no other company could perform the work — in tension with NPS's own filing stating multiple companies had expressed interest. Interior maintains it was unaware of Cafaro's political ties and that the White House played no role in selection.

SCORE: 25/20

No-bid emergency-exemption contract; recipient ~6 months old with one prior federal contract; owner has two prior federal convictions including bribery of a sitting member of Congress; owner is a substantial named donor; awarding agency's own analysis flagged the profit margin "inflated"; product failed within days; NPS's competing-bids claim contradicted by the contractor's own account.

THE VANDALISM CLAIMS — NO EVIDENCE PRODUCED

After the new coating peeled and the pool bloomed bright green within days of refilling, Trump made escalating public claims of vandalism with no supporting evidence.

DateClaimEvidentiary Status
Jun 20"Multiple individuals" arrested for vandalism; blamed "Radical Left Lunatics"No arrest records, charges or names produced beyond the Hearn case below
Jun 20Vandals put "a 250 foot long gash" with a blade and "poured corrosive and destructive chemicals into the Pool"No photo/video/forensic evidence; the chemicals present (hydrogen peroxide) were a documented NPS algae treatment, not introduced by a third party
OngoingPool was "never so beautiful... even going back to 1922" immediately before the damageContradicted by dated AP/Reuters photography and NPS's own algae-treatment timeline showing failure predated any vandalism claim

The Hearn arrest: David Carter Hearn, 67, a retired business owner and three-time Olympic canoeist, was detained by U.S. Park Police for more than four hours without a phone call after he was seen touching a 2mm piece of already-detached coating to examine it — a habit from his prior career selling specialty materials. He says he removed nothing; his account is corroborated by ABC's Jonathan Karl's own video, filmed a day earlier, showing the same coating already loose in the water. The White House and Park Police did not respond to requests for comment.

SCORE: 18/20 — UNSUBSTANTIATED BLAME-SHIFTING

Presidential accusation made without evidence; contradicted by contemporaneous video/photo record; detained citizen's account corroborated by independent press footage; the National Mall's extensive camera coverage never produced supporting evidence. Tracked as a behavioral category distinct from financial self-dealing: claim damage → blame political enemies → arrest a bystander → provide no evidence, following a self-inflicted failure. Cross-references the Hormuz "oil gusher" overstatement on the Iran page as a second instance of the same pattern.

What Has Not Been Shown

No document or finding cited above proves criminal conduct by any named seller, GEO Group, CoreCivic, MTC, Jim Jordan, Tom Homan, or any other individual named on this page. The Warren/Raskin inquiry into PNK Group is open and unresolved. The FEC complaint against GEO Group is a complaint, not a finding. Markup severity, ownership structure, and timing proximity to legislation are the basis for inclusion in this dataset — they are evidence warranting scrutiny, not conclusions of wrongdoing. Sellers may have legitimate market-based explanations for pricing (appraisal lag, illiquidity of large vacant industrial space, the unique cost of rapid-turnaround federal sales) that this page does not foreclose.

No court finding, settlement, or indictment confirms criminal conduct by Lewandowski, Noem, McLaughlin, Yoho, the Strategy Group, Safe America Media, Salus Worldwide Solutions, or GEO Group in connection with Section IV. The DHS Inspector General investigation is open and unresolved. Lewandowski denies the allegations. DHS maintains the ad contracts were handled "by the book" and cites 2.2 million self-deportations and a claimed $39B in savings as justification — a claim this dataset has not independently verified and does not endorse. Rep. Mace's call for investigation comes from a Republican member of the same party as the administration under scrutiny, noted here as evidence of bipartisan concern, not an indication of established wrongdoing.

On Section V: John J. Cafaro's two prior federal convictions are matters of court record; nothing cited here establishes that the Reflecting Pool contract awards were themselves unlawful, and the Interior Department states it was unaware of his political ties and that the White House played no role in selection. The "inflated" margin characterization is attributed to an internal NPS analysis, not a finding of fraud. The vandalism entry documents that a public accusation was made without evidence being produced; it is not a claim that no vandalism could have occurred. David Carter Hearn was detained and released without any charge cited in the public record. Inclusion reflects no-bid timing, recipient newness, and an unsubstantiated public accusation — evidence warranting scrutiny, not conclusions of wrongdoing.

Disclaimer: Statistical correlations from public records, deed filings, and federal lobbying/political-spending disclosures. Correlation does not imply causation or criminal conduct. Review by legal counsel recommended before drawing conclusions or taking action.

Cross-reference: VELOCITY — "The Speaker List and the Threat" (BlackRock/GIP airport infrastructure parallel; Mullin now carries a third integrity thread alongside summit timing and STOCK Act delinquency — his installation at DHS after Section IV's contracting scandal) · Influence Orbit (Carlyle Group / Medline cluster — same firm, different sector) · Iran War Intel (frozen Russian-adjacent asset questions running in parallel with the PNK Group inquiry).
Sources: CoStar Group · Business Insider · NJ.com · Gothamist · New Jersey Monitor · Real Estate NJ · D Magazine · Spotlight PA · ABC27 · Project Saltbox · Project On Government Oversight (POGO) · The Appeal · In These Times · OpenSecrets · Migrant Insider · District of Corruption · ProPublica · NewsNation · NBC News · House Oversight Committee · Rep. Nancy Mace press release · New York Times · Cleveland.com · ABC News (Jonathan Karl) · Associated Press · Reuters · National Park Service procurement filings · U.S. Park Police.