BLOOD MONEY · CRITICAL MINERALS · Day 101 — June 8, 2026

The Rare Earth Monopoly

OldGoat InTheHood  |  June 8, 2026  |  theyknewfirst.com
James Litinsky is the Chairman and CEO of MP Materials — the only company in America that mines and processes rare earth elements at commercial scale. His stock scored 29 out of 20. He sold $28.4 million of it while Washington was building his moat.
29/20
Suspicion score
highest in dataset
$28.4M
Total sold
Apr 17 – Jun 3, 2026
8
Separate sale
transactions
0
Purchases
same period

MP Materials

Mountain Pass, California. Elevation 4,730 feet. The only active rare earth mining and processing facility in the United States.

The rare earth elements mined there — neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, terbium — are not optional components of modern industrial civilization. They are inside every EV motor, every guided missile actuator, every F-35 radar array, every wind turbine generator. China controls approximately 80 percent of global rare earth processing capacity. In the years before MP Materials came back online, the US had no domestic alternative.

James Litinsky rebuilt MP Materials from bankruptcy. He took it public in 2020. He has since signed Department of Defense contracts to produce NdPr oxide for US defense supply chains. MP Materials is not a speculative mining stock. It is a declared national security asset with a DoD purchase agreement and a captive government customer.

During the period April 2 through June 3, 2026 — as the Trump administration imposed the most aggressive China tariff regime in modern history, restricted rare earth exports, and publicly declared that restoring domestic critical mineral supply chains was a national security priority — James Litinsky sold $28.4 million of MP Materials stock across eight separate transactions. All sales. Zero purchases.

The Trade Record

Date Value Shares Price Score Nearest Policy Event
2026-04-17 $2,614,585 40,821 $64.05 23 Greenland gov't approves CRML 92.5% stake in Tanbreez — world's largest undeveloped heavy REE deposit (dysprosium, terbium)
2026-04-20 $16,595,231 259,179 $64.03 29 ★ Congress STOCK Act Late Filings: Defense/Energy trades undisclosed during Iran War period — EXTREME severity
2026-05-12 $1,331,929 19,844 $67.12 25 Iran ceasefire "on massive life support" — Trump ultimatum issued
2026-05-13 $6,136,462 93,959 $65.31 24 Trump offers $100M aid to Cuba amid US oil blockade — SANCTIONS
2026-05-27 $1,526,845 23,113 $66.06 25 Trump threatens to "blow up" Oman — EXTREME MILITARY
2026-05-28 $457,488 6,710 $68.18 20 SANCTIONS event window
2026-05-29 $127,004 1,950 $65.13 20 SANCTIONS event window
2026-06-03 $837,179 20 SpaceX IPO day — Qeshm Island strikes / WTI $94.00
Total: $29,626,723 — 8 transactions — all sales
SALE MEGA_VALUE >$10M CRITICAL_MINERALS_LARGE WATCHLIST_T3 PRE_IRAN_CONFLICT STOCK_ACT_VIOLATION MASSIVE_LIQUIDATION SAME_DAY_EVENT EXTREME_EVENT

April 17 — The Greenland Coincidence

The first trade in this cluster — $2.6 million, 40,821 shares at $64.05 — filed on April 17, 2026.

The same day, the Greenland government formally approved Critical Metals Corp's ownership increase to 92.5% of the Tanbreez rare earth deposit. Tanbreez is one of the world's largest undeveloped heavy rare earth resources. Its primary products are dysprosium and terbium — the specific rare earth elements China has used as leverage against US defense industrial supply chains.

MP Materials does not produce significant dysprosium or terbium. Mountain Pass is a light rare earth deposit — neodymium and praseodymium are its primary outputs. Tanbreez, if developed, fills exactly the gap that Mountain Pass cannot. A Greenland rare earth supply chain is not complementary to MP Materials' position. It is a strategic substitute for it.

Litinsky sold $2.6 million on the day Greenland's government moved to formalize that substitute.

April 20 — The Score 29 Trade

Three days later. $16.6 million. 259,179 shares. The largest single transaction in this cluster and the highest-scoring individual trade in this dashboard's entire dataset.

April 20 is 18 days after Liberation Day (April 2) — the China tariff announcement that was supposed to be the defining commercial moment for US critical mineral producers. It is 11 days after the April 9 tariff pause, when markets partially recovered. MP Materials stock was elevated on the geopolitical premium of being America's only domestic rare earth producer.

Litinsky sold $16.6 million into that premium.

The nearest policy event flagged by the pipeline: Congress STOCK Act Late Filings — Defense and Energy trades undisclosed during the Iran War period. Severity: EXTREME. The same-day window that scores this trade so highly places it inside a documented period of undisclosed congressional insider activity in the defense and energy sectors. Litinsky is not a congressman. But the timing of his sale and the timing of congressional non-disclosure overlap exactly.

The Tariff Paradox

The logic of the China tariff regime was straightforward: by restricting Chinese rare earth imports and processing, Washington was supposed to make MP Materials — the only alternative — worth holding forever. The strategic moat should have been widest in April 2026. The CEO of the company that moat was built for sold $19.2 million across three days. Either Litinsky knew the moat was temporary, or he knew something the public did not about what was coming next for rare earth policy, for the Greenland supply chain, or for MP's specific competitive position.

The May Cluster

The selling did not stop in April. Between May 12 and June 3, Litinsky sold an additional $10.4 million across five transactions.

May 12 ($1.3M) and May 13 ($6.1M) were sold while the Iran ceasefire was described publicly as being "on massive life support." Iran war escalation drives oil prices. Oil prices drive energy sector exposure. MP Materials' defense contracts are not oil-dependent — but the broader Iran war context creates the policy environment in which congressional and executive branch actors are making simultaneous undisclosed trades in defense and energy names.

May 27 ($1.5M) was sold on the same day Trump threatened to "blow up" Oman at a cabinet meeting — the overnight escalation that preceded the Iranian mine placement in Omani territorial waters and the ensuing critical minerals / shipping lane disruption chain documented in the Oman threat pre-positioning analysis.

June 3 ($837K) was SpaceX IPO day. WTI intraday high $94.00. Qeshm Island strikes.

The COO Pattern

Litinsky is not the only MP Materials executive who sold ahead of a critical policy window. This dashboard previously documented that Michael Rosenthal, MP Materials COO, sold $10.8 million of MP stock on August 29, 2025 — 41 days before China announced rare earth export controls on October 9, 2025. That trade missed this pipeline's 30-day correlation window by 11 days. At a 45-day window — the parameter this investigation has flagged for the critical minerals cluster — it scores as a pre-event position exit ahead of a policy announcement that should have boosted, not suppressed, the reason to hold MP stock.

CEO sells before the moat is built. COO sells 41 days before the policy that validates the moat is announced. Both sales. No purchases between them.


What the Public Record Establishes

James Litinsky, Chairman and CEO of MP Materials — the only US rare earth producer, holder of Department of Defense contracts, and the commercial anchor of the Trump administration's domestic critical minerals strategy — sold $29.6 million of MP Materials stock across eight transactions between April 17 and June 3, 2026.

The April 17 sale was filed on the same day Greenland formally approved the largest competing rare earth development project in the Western hemisphere. The April 20 sale was the largest single transaction in this dashboard's dataset, scoring 29 out of a possible 20 points. The May trades were executed through the Iran war escalation, the Oman threat event, and the SpaceX IPO window.

All eight transactions were sales. The public record contains no MP Materials purchases by Litinsky during this period.

Whether these trades were pre-scheduled under a 10b5-1 plan, executed on the basis of material non-public information, or represent routine portfolio management is not determinable from SEC Form 4 data alone. What the public record establishes is the pattern. The rest is for investigators with subpoena authority.

Suspects tab → Iran tab → Forever Clause →

"The CEO of America's strategic minerals company liquidated $29.6 million of his own stock during the period when Washington was building the policy architecture designed to make that company untouchable. The public record ends where the board minutes begin."

Note on scoring methodology: suspicion scores above 20 result from multiple high-severity flags stacking — same-day event timing, STOCK_ACT violation window, CRITICAL_MINERALS flags, WATCHLIST designation, and transaction size. A score of 29 reflects the intersection of all five. Scores above 15 are treated as high-suspicion in this pipeline. Scores above 20 are flagged for investigative referral.